McKnight Foundation, oo ay weheliyaan 24 samafal oo hormuud ka ah oo ku lug leh Isbaheysiga Caalamiga ah ee Cuntada mustaqbalka, maanta COP28 ee Dubai baaq wadajir ah ayaa soo saaray koror toban laab ah ee maalgelinta dib-u-soo-nooleynta iyo isbeddellada beeraha si wax looga qabto caqabadaha degdegga ah ee beeraha iyo deegaanka ee caalamiga ah. Isku soo wada duuboo samafalayaashan waxay ku boorinayaan in la waafajiyo nidaamka cuntada iyo yoolka 1.5ºC ee heshiiska Paris waxaa loo baahan yahay in meesha laga saaro isticmaalka shidaalka fosil, gaar ahaan shidaalka fosil-ku-saleysan agrochemicals ee beeraha warshadaha, iyo u gudubka dhanka agroecology iyo hababka dib u soo kabashada.
Iyaga oo taageeraya baaqan waxqabad, samafalayaasha ka qayb qaadanaya ayaa maanta soo saaray warbixin cusub. "Kobcinta Isbedelka: Dardargelinta iyo Kordhinta Agroecology iyo Hababka Dib-u-cusboonaynta” Kaas oo iftiiminaya awoodda wax-ka-beddelka ee hababka dib-u-soo-noolaynta, beeraha-beeraha, iyo cuntada asaliga ah oo ku baaqaya in la kordhiyo maalgelinta ilaa 2040 iyo wixii ka dambeeya.
Waxaa loo xilsaaray aasaaska samafalka ee firfircoon ee isbeddelka hababka cuntada, cilmi-baaristu waxay muujineysaa in kororka toban laablaabka maalgashiga loo baahan yahay si loogu gudbo nidaamyo cunto oo adkeysi badan, kala duwan, sinnaan leh, iyo caafimaad leh:
- Qiyaasta kharashka u kala-guurka caalamiga ah ee cilmiga beeraha iyo hababka dib-u-soo-noolaynta waa USD 250-430 bilyan sannadkii, in ka yar 5% oo ah kharashyada qarsoon ee ugu yaraan. USD 12 trillion sanadkii - 10% ee GDP-ga caalamiga ah - oo ay ku jiraan gaajada iyo nafaqo-xumada, waxyeellada deegaanka, wax soo saarka shaqaalaha ee lumay, iyo daryeelka caafimaadka.
- Maalgelinta samafalka, dadweynaha iyo kuwa gaarka ah ee hadda jira ee cilmiga beeraha iyo hababka dib-u-soo-nooleynta ayaa lagu qiyaasay inay noqdaan USD 44 bilyan sannadkii taasoo ka tagaysa farqi lagu qiyaasay USD 206-386. Koror toban laab ah ayaa loo baahan yahay si loo taageero isbeddelkan aadka loogu baahan yahay.
- 635 bilyan oo doollarka Mareykanka ah ee kabidda beeraha dadweynaha sanadlaha ah ee caalamka, in ka badan kala badh (USD 385 bilyan) waxay keenaysaa saamayn deegaan oo waxyeelo leh, oo ay ka shaqeeyaan ka hortagga u-guurka dib-u-soo-nooleynta, hababka cuntada ee beeraha.
- U weecinta kabyadan dhanka agroecological iyo hababka dib u soo kicinta waa muhiim.
Maalgelinta qiyaasta la soo jeediyay waxay la macno tahay kala badh dhammaan cuntada la soo saaro waxay noqon kartaa dib-u-soo-noolayn iyo agroecological marka la gaaro 2040, dhammaantoodna waxay u gudbi doonaan habab waara marka la gaaro 2050. Soo noqoshada maalgashigu waxay noqon doontaa mid sare oo macquul ah.
Caddaynta adduunka oo dhan ayaa muujisay in dhulka iyo nidaamyada cuntada biyaha lagu maareeyo caafimaadka, sinnaanta, iyo joogteynta ay sababaan natiijooyin wax ku ool ah, laga bilaabo wax-soo-saarka xasilloon, adkeysiga dalagga, iyo dakhliga sare ee beeralayda, kalluumaysatada, iyo kuwa cuntada soo saara, nafaqaynta iyo sugnaanta cuntada oo hagaagtay iyo kala duwanaanshaha noolaha oo la xoojiyay.
Nidaamyada cuntada ee dib-u-soo-nooleynta iyo agroecological ayaa ah kuwo aan sahaydooda helin, oo leh kaalmooyin dadweyne iyo kuwo gaar loo leeyahay iyo maalgelinta taa beddelkeeda waxay kobcinayaan shidaalka fosil-nidaamyada cuntada degdegga ah ee sii xumeynaya isbeddelka cimilada, wadida luminta noolaha, iyo baabi'inta caafimaadka dadweynaha. Nidaamyada cuntada ayaa ku xisaabtama saddex meelood meel meel gaaska aqalka lagu sii daayo iyo ugu yaraan 15% ee isticmaalka shidaalka fosil. Hase yeeshee kaliya 3% ee dhaqaalaha cimilada ayaa loo qoondeeyay nidaamyada cuntada iyo qayb yar oo xitaa ka yar oo la siinayo beeralayda, kalluumaysatada ama ururada asaliga ah. Maaliyadda cimiladu waa in la miisaamaa oo lagu jiheeyaa cilmiga beeraha iyo hababka cuntada ee dib u soo cusboonaada.
“Dunideenu waxa ay maraysaa meel xasaasi ah, dookhyadayaduna waxa ay dib u soo celin doonaan jiilalka soo socda. Waxaan si wadajir ah ugu baaqaynaa asaageen inay kor u qaadaan maalgashigooda samafalka oo ay nagu soo biiraan kobcinta mustaqbal caddaalad ah oo siman," ayay tiri Anna Lappé, Agaasimaha Fulinta, Isbahaysiga Caalamiga ah ee Mustaqbalka Cunnada.
Wada-hawlgalayaasha samafalayaasha ah ee ka qaybqaadanaya hindisahan waxay ka hadlaan arrimaha la xiriira cuntada iyo beeraha adduunka oo dhinacyo kala duwan leh, arrimo kala duwan, iyo dhinacyo badan. Waxay kala yihiin: African Climate Foundation, Agroecology Fund, Biovision Foundation for Ecological Development, Builders Initiative Foundation, Children's Investment Fund Foundation, ClimateWorks Foundation, Erol Foundation, European Climate Foundation, Funders for Regenerative Agriculture, Global Alliance for Future of Food, GRACE Communications Foundation, Instituto Ibirapitanga, IKEA Foundation, Iskaashiga Cimilada India, Instituto Clima e Sociedade, Laudes Foundation, Macdoch Foundation, McKnight Foundation, Oak Foundation, Platform for Agriculture iyo Climate Change, Porticus, Robert Bosch-Stiftung Foundation, The Rockefeller Foundation, Thread Fund , Walton Family Foundation.
